![]() (As mentioned above, the Chargers double up as the biggest projected favorite in both Weeks 3 and 4.) So if you desire, you can try to just ho-hum along picking the safest team each week for the first half of the year.Įven if it works, though, your fortunes will change quickly down the stretch. But in most cases, that strategy doesn't come close to maximizing your edge.Įntering 2022, we project 9 different teams to have the highest win odds of the week over the first 10 weeks of the season. In very small survivor pools, it's occasionally possible to focus on making the safest picks and survive long enough to win. GET PICKS NOW: Free Survivor Picks From PoolGenius #4 - Taking All The Safest Picks Early Is A Trap In 2022 So if you're in a larger pool, you almost certainly don't want to burn the Chiefs early. The Chiefs’ schedule is extremely front-loaded in terms of difficulty.īut starting in Week 10, Kansas City will likely become a key team for navigating the second half of the year, especially in large survivor pools.įrom Week 10 on, Kansas City projects as the top favorite in three different weeks, playing Jacksonville (Week 10), Houston (Week 15), and Seattle (Week 16). One team that probably will not draw many survivor pool picks early in the 2022 season is Kansas City. ![]() #3 - Kansas City Is A Late Season Ace-In-The-Hole Pick In the extreme case, saving the Chargers to use after Week 4 should set up some very high value opportunities, but it would require a solid gamble early. Since you cannot use the Chargers in both weeks, figuring out how to play these two weeks will immediately test your risk appetite. The Chargers are the biggest projected favorite in both weeks, when they face Jacksonville in Week 3 and then Houston in Week 4. There’s also another factor that makes these two weeks of survivor picks even more difficult. Our projected win odds have only three teams with greater than 65% win odds in each of those two weeks. It does not look like it will take long to get to some key decisions in 2022 survivor pools, as Weeks 3 and 4 are setting up as a challenging stretch.īased on look-ahead betting lines, only three teams are favored by five or more points in Week 3, and only four teams are in Week 4. #2 - Week 3 and Week 4 Will Force Big Strategy Decisions In pools expected to last the entire 18-week season, conserving Buffalo could have big benefits. Since you can only use Buffalo once, that means a big strategy decision about whether to use mighty Buffalo in the first half of the season, or save them for later in the year. But from Week 9 to 16, Buffalo faces several juicy opponents, and we project the Bills to have win odds over 75% in six of those games. The Bills actually start the year with some tough matchups, including the season opener at the Rams and road games at Baltimore and Kansas City in the first six weeks. Looking ahead, we project Buffalo to be one of the two biggest favorites in eight different weeks of 2022. Survivor Picks | Pick'em Picks | Betting Picks #1 - Buffalo Has High Future Value In 2022 Survivor PoolsĪs of the start of the 2022 season, the Buffalo Bills have the highest amount of future value in survivor pools, and it’s not particularly close. Products from PoolGenius and TeamRankings: Via the link below, for a limited time 4for4 readers can also get a free trial of our NFL Survivor Get Picks Now In this article, we will focus specifically on the 2022 season, and identify four specific scenarios that you need to think about if you want to make the smartest survivor pool picks this season. We’ve already written a guest post on 4for4 about mistakes to avoid in survivor pools, and it provides a general overview of survivor pool strategy. Our picks and tools have won over $3.7 million in survivor pool prizes for our subscribers. ![]() At PoolGenius, we've spent over a decade analyzing what it takes to win survivor pools (also known as knockout pools and eliminator pools). The 2022 NFL season has arrived, and with it the annual buzz about NFL survivor pool strategy.
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